Peter ElstonAug 31, 20163 min readMacroAn Interesting Essay by San Francisco Fed President, John Williams Having written about secular stagnation and the natural rate of interest in my August letter, it was interesting to see San Francisco Fed...
Peter ElstonJul 31, 20163 min readMacroSecular Stagnation and the Natural Rate of Interest One of the most interesting features of global financial markets over the last 20 years has been the inexorable decline in long-term real...
Where's My Cycle?An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets