The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More

At the time of writing, global equities are up around 17% in US dollars year to date. Sterling weakness has added a further 3 percentage...

There is no bigger question for investors currently than where UK consumer price inflation is headed in the medium term.

Inflation has been on the rise recently in the UK and around the world. Is this rise transitory, as central bankers are saying it is, or...

In a recent op-ed, IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath noted that: “For the first time, in 60% of the global economy – including 97% of...

Whether because of covid-19 or otherwise, the quest for yield has in recent times been strewn with casualties. Where and how can...

For some time now I have been expecting the current global business cycle to end in 2020, with the caveat that it was almost as likely to...

This is the second in a series of four posts dedicated to active management, focussing on some of the key figures involved in the study...

From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. The very rapid...

The last two equity bear markets - in 2001/2 and 2008/9 - saw rolling three year returns from global equities at their trough hit -45 and...

A lot of attention in the media recently has been devoted to the inversion of the yield curve in the US in late March. There is one main...

2018 was looking all fine and dandy up until the beginning of October. Equity markets, though having been driven by a small number of...

I think I have one of the best jobs in the world: essentially, to predict the future – the future course of, for example, inflation and...

In January 2016, I wrote about some interesting but little-heard-of research by Dr Leo Krippner at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand on the...

October was clearly a bad month for equity markets around the world, with the MSCI AC World index falling 6.9% in local currency terms....

From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Last year we...

Am I right to worry about higher inflation? Followers of our funds and my writing will know that we have been reducing risk in...

June saw equity markets around the world give back some of the gains made in April and May. The trigger for these falls appeared to be...

The month of May saw equities on the whole continuing to recover from their February and March declines as economic data remained broadly...