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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


An Unwelcome Comeback
In last month’s column I wrote about the yield curve – the difference between long-term and short-term interest rates – and how its...
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20193 min read
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Reducing Equity Targets
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Last year we...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20183 min read
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It’s Different this Time. Really?
Just before the 1929 Wall Street crash, celebrated Yale economist Irving Fisher claimed that the stock market had reached “a permanently...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20183 min read
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It’s Time to Do Something About High Wealth and Income Inequality
High wealth inequality is being increasingly cited as one of the main causes of the structurally lower growth that much of the world,...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20166 min read
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An Interesting Essay by San Francisco Fed President, John Williams
Having written about secular stagnation and the natural rate of interest in my August letter, it was interesting to see San Francisco Fed...
Peter Elston
Sep 1, 20163 min read
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Secular Stagnation and the Natural Rate of Interest
One of the most interesting features of global financial markets over the last 20 years has been the inexorable decline in long-term real...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20163 min read
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Key Questions in the Aftermath of the Brexit Vote to Leave
There is much that can be written about the referendum result. Indeed, much already has been. I shall try to keep this simple and focus...
Peter Elston
Jul 1, 20166 min read
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Corporate Sector Indicators
Sales per share is often an interesting indicator to look at. Charts 6 and 7 below do just that, the first by geography and the second by...
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20161 min read
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EM Growth Needs to Recover to Pre-Crisis Levels
The volume of opinion surrounding emerging markets can, at times, seem deafening. For simplicity’s sake, I will discuss just two key...
Peter Elston
Apr 1, 20164 min read
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Export Drive
During his state of the Union address President Obama pledged to double Americas exports over the next five years, precisely the strategy...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20104 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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