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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More

Lessons From the Chimps
In a recent op-ed, IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath noted that: “For the first time, in 60% of the global economy – including 97% of...
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20213 min read
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Pick Out Persistent Themes
To invoke US conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway’s vice chairman Charlie Munger: if investing is not thematic, what the hell is it? Here is...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20203 min read
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Gold is No Longer for Fools
As many will know from bitter experience, a crisis often has two stages. The first is the crisis itself, whether a natural disaster that...
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20204 min read
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The Liquid Illiquid Solution
There is little doubt that low interest rates have been causing savers and investors difficulties in recent years. In decades past, not...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20193 min read
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An Unwelcome Comeback
In last month’s column I wrote about the yield curve – the difference between long-term and short-term interest rates – and how its...
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20193 min read
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Is a Recession Imminent?
This month, I write about our funds’ current (tactical) asset allocation positioning in the context of my macro outlook and market views....
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20198 min read
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The Road Ahead
Last month’s column was about predicting financial markets over the medium term. This month I thought it would be fun to look much...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20193 min read
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Was 2018 the Start of the Next Bear Market?
2018 was looking all fine and dandy up until the beginning of October. Equity markets, though having been driven by a small number of...
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20195 min read
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Inflation Warning Flashes Red
Renowned economist Milton Friedman wrote: “Inflation is a disease, a dangerous and sometimes fatal disease, a disease that if not checked...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20183 min read
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Am I Right to Worry About Higher Inflation?
Am I right to worry about higher inflation? Followers of our funds and my writing will know that we have been reducing risk in...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20185 min read
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Secular Stagnation? Or the Optimistic View?
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Since the Great...
Peter Elston
May 1, 20185 min read
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Citywire Investment Committee No.2
As I write this Donald Trump has just been declared president and I congratulate him on playing a blinder of a hand. Let’s hope he can...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20164 min read
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US Election – a Dangerous Distraction
As I write this Donald Trump has just been declared president and I congratulate him on playing a blinder of a hand. Let’s hope he can...
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20164 min read
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It’s Time to Do Something About High Wealth and Income Inequality
High wealth inequality is being increasingly cited as one of the main causes of the structurally lower growth that much of the world,...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20166 min read
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EM Growth Needs to Recover to Pre-Crisis Levels
The volume of opinion surrounding emerging markets can, at times, seem deafening. For simplicity’s sake, I will discuss just two key...
Peter Elston
Apr 1, 20164 min read
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Do Markets and Currencies Fare Better Under Labour or the Conservatives?
The world has known the date of the UK's general election for the last five years and, while it may cause some short-term volatility in...
Peter Elston
Apr 1, 20154 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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