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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


Krippner Revisited
In January 2016, I wrote about some interesting but little-heard-of research by Dr Leo Krippner at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand on the...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20184 min read
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US Election – a Dangerous Distraction
As I write this Donald Trump has just been declared president and I congratulate him on playing a blinder of a hand. Let’s hope he can...
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20164 min read
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Citywire Investment Committee No.1
At Seneca we have a five-year investment time horizon so our views don’t tend to change very often. I have little doubt that when I write...
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20163 min read
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Secular Stagnation and the Natural Rate of Interest
One of the most interesting features of global financial markets over the last 20 years has been the inexorable decline in long-term real...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20163 min read
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Key Questions in the Aftermath of the Brexit Vote to Leave
There is much that can be written about the referendum result. Indeed, much already has been. I shall try to keep this simple and focus...
Peter Elston
Jul 1, 20166 min read
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Trouble in Asia
Overview What is going on in Asia? Stock markets in the region have fallen much more than those in developed markets, and yet economic...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20085 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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