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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


Stand Firm and Be Strong
For some time now I have been expecting the current global business cycle to end in 2020, with the caveat that it was almost as likely to...
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20203 min read
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The Investor as an Animal
Behaviour is everything. Our collective behaviour determines whether we as societies or as a race are creating or destroying. From time...
Peter Elston
Sep 1, 20183 min read
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Tactical Asset Allocation in the Current Phase of the Business Cycle
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Our analysis...
Peter Elston
Jul 1, 20184 min read
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Investment Markets are There to Make you Look Stupid
When you make a decision to buy something, whether a stock, a fund, an ETF or a passive fund, you impose on yourself a second decision,...
Peter Elston
May 1, 20183 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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