The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More

Mar 31, 20203 min read

The Price of Safety

The University of Cambridge’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risks conducts research in three areas: risks associated with...

Feb 1, 20195 min read

Was 2018 the Start of the Next Bear Market?

2018 was looking all fine and dandy up until the beginning of October. Equity markets, though having been driven by a small number of...

Jan 1, 20197 min read

2019 Investment Outlook

From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. 2018 was looking...

Jul 31, 20185 min read

Am I Right to Worry About Higher Inflation?

Am I right to worry about higher inflation? Followers of our funds and my writing will know that we have been reducing risk in...

May 31, 20162 min read

Inflation Watch

Core inflation rates in the developed world have been fairly stable in recent months at around the 1.3% per annum level (see Chart 1)....

Feb 1, 20162 min read

Inflation Watch

There are very tentative signs of improvement in inflation numbers around the world (improvement could mean it either rising if it is too...

Nov 1, 20151 min read

Inflation Watch

Overall, inflation pressures in the developed world and in key emerging markets remain very weak. This means that monetary policy will...

Jan 1, 20153 min read

Investors Should not Ignore the Deflation Threat

The spectre of deflation is once again looming, with Bank of England governor Mark Carney refusing to rule it out in the UK in the coming...

Where's My Cycle?

An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets

Correlation or causation?

Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way

Dear John

Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame

INVESTMENT BLOG