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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More
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Peter Elston
Dec 2, 20228 min read
Vanguard Doubles Down
The passive fund behemoth refuses to consider possibility that inflation will remain high
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Peter Elston
Nov 4, 20226 min read
Is Vanguard In Denial?
The manager of the huge passive balanced fund range is clearly conflicted
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Peter Elston
Oct 20, 20221 min read
Citywire: Wealth Managers May Need A Complete Rethink
My latest piece, published in Citywire, takes aim at balanced and risk-rated funds
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Peter Elston
Sep 28, 20223 min read
Carnage
If you enjoy reading this blog, please leave a star rating on WealthTender. Thank you! The ramifications of the big fall in Gilts will be...
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Peter Elston
Aug 26, 20224 min read
OK, But What Do The Patterns Actually Mean?
Patterns in financial markets relate to human behaviour, the business cycle, and longer inflation cycles
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Peter Elston
Aug 22, 20226 min read
A Statistical Appraisal Of Bond And Equity Behaviour
Bonds and equities exhibit fundamentally different patterns
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Peter Elston
Aug 3, 20223 min read
Where Are We In The Cycle?
A reminder about what empirical research tells us about business cycle phases and asset class returns
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Peter Elston
Jul 27, 20226 min read
Prediction Machines
It's easy to make predictions but making them useful is another thing all together
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Peter Elston
May 29, 20224 min read
Grin And Bear It
Signs point to the start of a bond bear market Since their peak on 4 August 2020, long duration Treasuries are down 40% in real terms....
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Peter Elston
May 26, 20222 min read
Misunderstanding About Inflation-Linked Bonds
There is a widespread misunderstanding about inflation-linked bonds, namely that they protect against inflation. They don't. At least not...
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets
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Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way
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Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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