Peter ElstonMay 31, 20193 min readMacroAn Unwelcome ComebackIn last month’s column I wrote about the yield curve – the difference between long-term and short-term interest rates – and how its...
Peter ElstonApr 30, 20185 min readMacroSecular Stagnation? Or the Optimistic View?From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. Since the Great...
Peter ElstonJul 31, 20163 min readMacroSecular Stagnation and the Natural Rate of Interest One of the most interesting features of global financial markets over the last 20 years has been the inexorable decline in long-term real...
Peter ElstonJun 30, 20166 min readMacroKey Questions in the Aftermath of the Brexit Vote to LeaveThere is much that can be written about the referendum result. Indeed, much already has been. I shall try to keep this simple and focus...
Where's My Cycle?An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets