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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More


Of Laptops And Chimps
I'm off for the next two weeks. I had lined up a hundred chimps, each with their own laptop, in the hope that they could continue...
Peter Elston
Jun 3, 20222 min read
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Mea Culpa? Hardly...
It is important that governments are honest about what is causing inflation
Peter Elston
Jun 2, 20222 min read
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Winter of '69
Winter of '69
I see little sign of such honesty and humility today which is concerning to say the least.
Peter Elston
Jun 1, 20224 min read
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How bad will the UK economy get?
There is little consensus currently about how weak the UK economy will get in the next year or two as a result of the prevailing high...
Peter Elston
May 31, 20222 min read
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Grin And Bear It
Signs point to the start of a bond bear market Since their peak on 4 August 2020, long duration Treasuries are down 40% in real terms....
Peter Elston
May 29, 20224 min read
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Bad and Ugly: The Two Types Of Inflation
Next week I will post my latest What Investment magazine column in which I wrote about the difference between cyclical and structural...
Peter Elston
May 27, 20222 min read
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Misunderstanding About Inflation-Linked Bonds
There is a widespread misunderstanding about inflation-linked bonds, namely that they protect against inflation. They don't. At least not...
Peter Elston
May 26, 20222 min read
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It's Time to Start Thinking in Real Terms
There are two effects of high inflation. The first is one that we have in recent weeks and months become brutally aware of, namely its...
Peter Elston
May 25, 20222 min read
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How Much Of The High Inflation From 1965 To 1981 Was Due To The Two Oil Shocks?
There is no correct answer to this question - other than that before 1973, none of it! - as it is impossible to separate out effects of...
Peter Elston
May 24, 20223 min read
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Tools of the Trade
In this post I set out a classification scheme for publicly available investment funds. It is hoped this can provide those readers who ...
Peter Elston
May 1, 20224 min read
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Divine Messages?
I remember with amusement a presentation some years ago by a technical analyst, a so-called chartist.
Peter Elston
Apr 1, 20224 min read
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The Mother of All Themes
Understanding the basic science behind man-made climate change can give investors an edge. However, for the non-expert.
Peter Elston
Mar 1, 20223 min read
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Growing Pains
I remember feeling extremely honoured when I was invited four years ago to write this column. It seemed to me to be a great opportunity.
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20223 min read
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Clear and Present Danger
At the time of writing, global equities are up around 17% in US dollars year to date. Sterling weakness has added a further 3 percentage...
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20224 min read
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No Such Thing as a Free Lunch
In my Last Word column in May this year I wrote about investment fund blow-ups, with a focus on the debacle of Allianz’s Structured Alpha...
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20214 min read
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Boiling Frogs
There is no bigger question for investors currently than where UK consumer price inflation is headed in the medium term.
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20213 min read
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When the Fun Stops...
How can young people be helped to reach this epiphany sooner?
Peter Elston
Oct 1, 20213 min read
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Heavy Weather
In November, the UK will host the 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26). Considering this, and the recent extreme weather
Peter Elston
Sep 1, 20214 min read
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Boom and Bust
Speculative bubbles – famous examples of which are tulips in the 17th century, the South Sea Company in the 18th, British railways in the...
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20214 min read
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A Game of High Stakes
Inflation has been on the rise recently in the UK and around the world. Is this rise transitory, as central bankers are saying it is, or...
Peter Elston
Jul 1, 20213 min read
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets


Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way


Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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