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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More
Peter Elston
Sep 1, 20153 min read
Response to FT Adviser Article
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. My attention was...
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Peter Elston
Sep 1, 20155 min read
Strategic Asset Allocation
As is the case with many things in the financial world, there is no one clear definition of the term ‘strategic asset allocation.’ While...
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Peter Elston
Sep 1, 20154 min read
Are we Entering a Bear Market?
What do the sharp falls in equity markets across the world port end? Were they simply the inevitable result of prices that had gone up...
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Peter Elston
Aug 31, 20153 min read
Inflation Watch
The 10 year US Treasury yield has fallen from 2.5% on 27 June to 2.1% currently (as at 25.08.2015), a very substantial change. Normally,...
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Peter Elston
Aug 31, 20152 min read
Captain Murphy’s Diary
Murphy’s Law says that what can go wrong, will go wrong. It is thought to be named after Captain Ed Murphy, an aircraft engineer who,...
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Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20152 min read
Captain Murphy’s Diary
Murphy’s Law says that what can wrong, will go wrong. It is thought to be named after Captain Ed Murphy, an aircraft engineer who,...
20
Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20153 min read
Inflation Watch
My core belief about the first interest rate rises here in the UK but also across the pond is that they’ll happen much later than many...
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Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20152 min read
Scientific Advance
I don’t know whether it’s me noticing them more, the media picking up on them to a greater extent, or the fact that there are more of...
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Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20154 min read
When will Commodities Prices Recover?
Unlike equities, bonds or property, commodities cannot be valued on the basis of the income they generate. This makes it hard to feel...
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Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20152 min read
Introducing 'Multi-Asset Value Investing'
We have introduced an explicit value-oriented approach to our investment process. We think multi-asset value investing is both new and...
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Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20154 min read
Are ‘Safe Havens’ Really That Safe?
In recent years there have been a number of complaints against advisers in which the Financial Ombudsman Service has ruled that the...
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Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20156 min read
For the Love of Charts
I like charts. This month I take a look at MSCI’s major global sectors and see if there is anything that can be learned from what has...
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Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20152 min read
UK Growth Prospects
The question of concern currently is at what point does the Bank of England put the brakes on? This matters because equity markets,...
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Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20151 min read
Portfolio Positioning in Relation to Interest Rate Prospects
We’re positioned for interest rates staying where they are, not rising. Inflation needs propping up, not suppressing. True, [Bank of...
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20154 min read
How Can the Fed Solve the Interest Rate Conundrum?
It is generally agreed that a little inflation (in the order of 2% per annum) is a good thing. Anything higher than this impedes private...
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20153 min read
Asset Allocation and Unemployment
I am a big believer in keeping tactical asset allocation simple. The more complicated you make it – either by considering too many...
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20155 min read
Fear of Equities
Every now and again I feel the need to wonder why people are so scared of equities, in light of how stable dividend distributions are...
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Peter Elston
May 1, 20154 min read
The Big Picture
Looking back, the biggest events over the last 18 months have been the substantial falls in G7 bond yields and the oil price as well as...
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Peter Elston
Apr 30, 20153 min read
Whither the Oil Price?
Despite some proclaiming that the price fall was a sign of a weakening global economy, I suspect that increased supply has been mostly to...
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Peter Elston
Apr 30, 20153 min read
Value Investing: The Basics
I am a value investor. I hate to give him even more publicity than he already has, but Woodford Patient Capital Trust’s Neil Woodford...
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets
Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way
Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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