top of page
The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20162 min read
Specialist Investment Vehicles hold Key to 'Decent Yields'
If you buy the 30-year inflation protected gilt today and hold it to maturity you are guaranteed to lose 24% of your real capital. Where...
20
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20161 min read
Citywire Room 101: What Bothers Me?
Investment: I have a love/hate relationship with my industry. What I love about it is the fact that, as in sport, there is no argument...
40
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20162 min read
Inflation Watch
There are very tentative signs of improvement in inflation numbers around the world (improvement could mean it either rising if it is too...
30
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20162 min read
Introducing 'Specialist Investments'
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. We have decided...
20
Peter Elston
Feb 1, 20164 min read
Just How Risky are Bonds?
In my last blog I wrote about how volatility is a poor measure of risk, by considering the general attributes of both equities and bonds....
40
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 201612 min read
2016 Investment Outlook
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. This investment...
30
Peter Elston
Jan 1, 20165 min read
Value versus growth – A misleading binary
The analytical framework set out by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd in 1934 was very intricate, whereas the constituents of value indices...
20
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20153 min read
Captain Murphy’s Diary
Murphy’s Law says that what can go wrong, will go wrong. It is thought to be named after Captain Ed Murphy, an aircraft engineer who,...
40
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20151 min read
Inflation Watch
What is particularly notable at the moment is that inflation almost everywhere is lower than desired. The only place where inflation is...
30
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20154 min read
A Review of 2015
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. As we approach...
40
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20151 min read
Employment Watch
Unemployment continued to fall across the developed world but in all cases remains about what should be considered full employment. I am...
30
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20154 min read
Healthcare Stocks are Sniffing, but They will Get Better
Healthcare stocks have certainly caught a nasty cold recently. Investors have fled as if they fear an infection. But as with humans, so...
30
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20151 min read
Inflation Watch
Overall, inflation pressures in the developed world and in key emerging markets remain very weak. This means that monetary policy will...
30
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20153 min read
Contrarian Opportunities
Thanks to Canaccord’s Alan Brierley for his slides highlighting some interesting contrarian opportunities. The four he presented were...
30
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20152 min read
A Goldilocks Environment for Equities
We may yet be proved wrong but it is starting to look as if our call that we were not heading into a more pronounced period of equity...
30
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20154 min read
Why equities are less risky than bonds
Here’s a question. From November 1940 to September 1981, the annualised standard deviation of real returns from US long dated bonds was...
90
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20151 min read
Employment Watch
Most if not all central banks are tasked with maintaining price stability and full employment. Employment Watch looks at recent...
40
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20154 min read
Why Gold is a Poor Investment and Doesn't Always Hold its Value
What role should gold play in a portfolio? Should it be considered an investment, a store of value (money), or as insurance? "Although...
60
Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20153 min read
Captain Murphy's Diary
Murphy’s Law says that what can go wrong, will go wrong. It is thought to be named after Captain Ed Murphy, an aircraft engineer who,...
20
Peter Elston
Sep 30, 20156 min read
Captain Murphy’s Diary
Murphy’s Law says that what can go wrong, will go wrong. It is thought to be named after Captain Ed Murphy, an aircraft engineer who,...
20
Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets
Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way
Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
bottom of page