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The Latest on Equities, Bonds, Economics, Behavioural Investing, Climate Change & More
Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20164 min read
Value Investing is Not the Same Thing as Value Indices
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. I’m thinking...
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Peter Elston
Dec 1, 20164 min read
A Selective Approach to Investing in Asia
I was fortunate to have spent twenty or so years working in Asia. It has been – and continues to be – the highest growth region in the...
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Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20164 min read
US Election – a Dangerous Distraction
As I write this Donald Trump has just been declared president and I congratulate him on playing a blinder of a hand. Let’s hope he can...
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Peter Elston
Nov 1, 20164 min read
The Most Interesting Question in the World?
Here’s an interesting question: do the low or negative long-term real interest rates that prevail around the world signify a bleak...
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Peter Elston
Sep 30, 20166 min read
It’s Time to Do Something About High Wealth and Income Inequality
High wealth inequality is being increasingly cited as one of the main causes of the structurally lower growth that much of the world,...
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Peter Elston
Sep 30, 20163 min read
Citywire Investment Committee No.1
At Seneca we have a five-year investment time horizon so our views don’t tend to change very often. I have little doubt that when I write...
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Peter Elston
Aug 31, 20163 min read
An Interesting Essay by San Francisco Fed President, John Williams
Having written about secular stagnation and the natural rate of interest in my August letter, it was interesting to see San Francisco Fed...
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Peter Elston
Aug 31, 20163 min read
How Risky are Specialist Funds?
So far in this series of quarterly blog posts on the subject of investment risk, I have covered risk in general, the risks of equities...
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Peter Elston
Aug 1, 20164 min read
Navigating a Low Growth Future
For savers, the combination of lower investment returns and rising longevity is a toxic combination. In days gone by one may have only...
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Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20163 min read
A Proposal for the British Government
I have a proposal for the British government. It’s not complicated: sell vast quantities of 50-year debt and buy vast quantities of UK...
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Peter Elston
Jul 31, 20163 min read
Secular Stagnation and the Natural Rate of Interest
One of the most interesting features of global financial markets over the last 20 years has been the inexorable decline in long-term real...
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Peter Elston
Jul 30, 20164 min read
Navigating a Low Growth World
While it is far from clear what its long term impact will be, Britain’s vote to leave the EU has shone a light on the growth problems in...
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Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20165 min read
Fund Performance Following the Brexit Vote
Since the referendum, our funds have slipped down the peer group rankings. This does not mean that their absolute performance has been...
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Peter Elston
Jun 30, 20166 min read
Key Questions in the Aftermath of the Brexit Vote to Leave
There is much that can be written about the referendum result. Indeed, much already has been. I shall try to keep this simple and focus...
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20162 min read
Employment Watch
May’s non-farm payrolls of 38,000 came in well below expectations of 160,000. Furthermore, April’s payrolls were revised downwards from...
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20165 min read
Active Management and the Problem with “Passive”
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. My attention was...
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20162 min read
Inflation Watch
Core inflation rates in the developed world have been fairly stable in recent months at around the 1.3% per annum level (see Chart 1)....
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20161 min read
Corporate Sector Indicators
Sales per share is often an interesting indicator to look at. Charts 6 and 7 below do just that, the first by geography and the second by...
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20164 min read
What are Betting Markets Telling Us About the UK Referendum?
From Seneca Investment Managers' public marketing material. Seneca is now part of Momentum Global Investment Management. First it was...
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Peter Elston
May 31, 20162 min read
Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) Review
We have just concluded our annual review of our funds’ strategic asset allocations. We have made some small changes to the underlying...
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Where's My Cycle?
An update on where I think we are in the business cycle with respect to growth, inflation and markets
Correlation or causation?
Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way
Dear John
Liontrust's John Husselbee's arguments in support of balanced funds are lame
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