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Statistics and Science

Posts in this category are about topics such as climate change, use of statistical analysis in investing or the world more broadly, or ones in which I have made particular use of statistics.

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3 Mar 2023

Correlation or causation?

Data is too often presented in an unfair, unclear and misleading way

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16 Dec 2022

Another Victim of Bad Maths?

Criminologist Prof David Wilson writes on Suspected Miscarriage of Justice Case Colin Norris

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15 Sept 2022

How The Lake District Was Formed...In Three Minutes

For those interested in a quick summary of 500 million years of geological history of The Lakes

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25 Aug 2022

Randomness And The Galton Board

For those who know what the normal/Gaussian distribution looks like but are not quite sure what it is

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4 Jul 2022

How Not To Date A Hominin

Seeing at close hand that science is not always about the search for truth came as a bit of a surprise

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19 Jun 2022

Incredible Iceland!

A taste of what Iceland has to offer geologically

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29 May 2022

Grin And Bear It

Signs point to the start of a bond bear market Since their peak on 4 August 2020, long duration Treasuries are down 40% in real terms....

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1 Feb 2022

Growing Pains

I remember feeling extremely honoured when I was invited four years ago to write this column. It seemed to me to be a great opportunity.

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27 Jan 2023

Taking The Fear Out Of Maths

Improving maths standards will involve addressing the very real problem of maths anxiety

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26 Oct 2022

Understanding This Will Make You A Better Person

Bayes' Theorem can be used to make better decisions, whether in the courtroom or the stock market

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7 Sept 2022

Making Waves About Bubbles

GMO's Jeremy Grantham has caused a stir with his latest missive

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24 Aug 2022

What The *&%$ Is Schrödinger's Cat All About?

It may be possible to both understand and not understand Schrödinger's Cat at the same time

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22 Jun 2022

Valuing the Essential Nature of Stuff

There is a remarkably simple test for whether something has intrinsic value

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8 Jun 2022

Musical chairs...sort of

On my flight to Reykjavik this morning - it was an early one but at least it actually departed, and on time - I remembered a maths...

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31 Mar 2022

Divine Messages?

I remember with amusement a presentation some years ago by a technical analyst, a so-called chartist.

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31 Aug 2021

Heavy Weather

In November, the UK will host the 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26). Considering this, and the recent extreme weather

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19 Jan 2023

Auntie! No!

The PM should start with the BBC when it comes to improving maths standards

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12 Oct 2022

Miscarriages of Justice in Killer Caregiver Cases

As another 'angel of death' case gets underway in Manchester, the spotlight is turned once again on use of statistics and investigation obje

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26 Aug 2022

OK, But What Do The Patterns Actually Mean?

Patterns in financial markets relate to human behaviour, the business cycle, and longer inflation cycles

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22 Aug 2022

A Statistical Appraisal Of Bond And Equity Behaviour

Bonds and equities exhibit fundamentally different patterns

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21 Jun 2022

Do Trends Exist?

It's not about cycles and trends, but pattern and randomness

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3 Jun 2022

Of Laptops And Chimps

I'm off for the next two weeks. I had lined up a hundred chimps, each with their own laptop, in the hope that they could continue...

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1 Mar 2022

The Mother of All Themes

Understanding the basic science behind man-made climate change can give investors an edge. However, for the non-expert.

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1 Mar 2021

Vital Statistics

Statistical analysis reveals truth about data. Academic papers based on experimental data normally require a formal, statistical analysis...

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